All central banks

Europe

Deutsche Bundesbank

Too few recent speeches for a current tone.
Speeches
34
First speech
Dec 28, 1996
Latest speech
Dec 16, 1998
Tone vs coming rate moves
Not tested
too few speeches or no published rate

Does the tone run ahead of the rate?

Speech tone over the previous three months, and the policy rate at the end of each month, on the same timeline. Hover over either chart to read the same month in both.

Speech tone

Policy rate

Latest speeches

Each speech's tone is the average over its sentences about policy, prices, rates or the economy. Open a speech to read it in full.
DateSpeechTone
Dec 16, 1998

Edgar Meister

βˆ’0.01
Dec 4, 1998

JΓΌrgen Stark

βˆ’0.17
Dec 4, 1998

Hans Tietmeyer

βˆ’0.11
Nov 15, 1998

Helmut Schieber

βˆ’0.06
Oct 30, 1998

Wendelin Hartmann

βˆ’0.07
Oct 30, 1998

Edgar Meister

+0.22
Oct 15, 1998

Hans Tietmeyer

βˆ’0.03
Oct 12, 1998

Edgar Meister

βˆ’0.05
Oct 6, 1998

Hans Tietmeyer

+0.04
Oct 2, 1998

Hans Tietmeyer

βˆ’0.03
Sep 24, 1998

Wendelin Hartmann

βˆ’0.06
Sep 11, 1998

Edgar Meister

βˆ’0.04
Jul 2, 1998

Hans Tietmeyer

βˆ’0.09
May 18, 1998

Hans Tietmeyer

βˆ’0.06
May 8, 1998

JΓΌrgen Stark

βˆ’0.03
May 7, 1998

Hans Tietmeyer

+0.00
May 5, 1998

Hans Tietmeyer

+0.11
Apr 20, 1998

Wendelin Hartmann

βˆ’0.06
Mar 20, 1998

Otmar Issing

+0.08
Mar 5, 1998

Hans Tietmeyer

+0.01
Feb 27, 1998

Edgar Meister

βˆ’0.04
Feb 12, 1998

Hans Tietmeyer

βˆ’0.01
Jan 30, 1998

Wendelin Hartmann

βˆ’0.04
Jan 13, 1998

Hans Tietmeyer

βˆ’0.11
Jan 4, 1998

Otmar Issing

+0.07
Nov 27, 1997

Hans Tietmeyer

βˆ’0.02
Oct 28, 1997

Hans Tietmeyer

+0.02
Oct 24, 1997

Otmar Issing

βˆ’0.04
Oct 14, 1997

Johann Wilhelm Gaddum

+0.01
Jun 19, 1997

Hans Tietmeyer

+0.03
Mar 14, 1997

Hans Tietmeyer

+0.00
Mar 3, 1997

Hans Tietmeyer

βˆ’0.02
Feb 13, 1997

Johann Wilhelm Gaddum

βˆ’0.02
Dec 28, 1996

Hans Tietmeyer

+0.06
Next: Across all central banksHow tone lines up with rate moves at every bank tested, and whether it predicts them.