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Europe

European Central Bank

Sounds balanced lately −0.01 Live feed
Speeches
6,314
First speech
Jul 8, 1998
Latest speech
Oct 21, 2026
Tone vs coming rate moves
+0.37
rank correlation

Does the tone run ahead of the rate?

Speech tone over the previous three months, and the policy rate at the end of each month, on the same timeline. Hover over either chart to read the same month in both.

Speech tone

Policy rate

Latest speeches

Each speech's tone is the average over its sentences about policy, prices, rates or the economy. Open a speech to read it in full.
DateSpeechTone
Oct 21, 2026−0.17
Oct 19, 2026+0.00
Oct 17, 2026+0.23
Oct 14, 2026−0.44
Oct 13, 2026+0.06
Oct 6, 2026−0.12
Oct 6, 2026–
Jun 22, 2026

Fabio Panetta

−0.10
Jun 22, 2026

Christine Lagarde

+0.20
Jun 19, 2026

Emmanuel Moulin

−0.63
Jun 19, 2026

Jose Luis Escrivá

+0.00
Jun 19, 2026

Colm Kincaid

+0.05
Jun 19, 2026

Frank Elderson

−0.00
Jun 19, 2026

Piero Cipollone

+0.06
Jun 18, 2026

Joachim Nagel

−0.02
Jun 18, 2026

Steven Maijoor

−0.77
Jun 17, 2026

Olaf Sleijpen

+0.05
Jun 17, 2026

Steven Maijoor

–
Jun 16, 2026

Olaf Sleijpen

−0.01
Jun 16, 2026

Gabriel Makhlouf

+0.24
Jun 15, 2026

Joachim Nagel

+0.20
Jun 15, 2026

Christine Lagarde

+0.05
Jun 11, 2026

Mary-Elizabeth McMunn

+0.18
Jun 10, 2026

Colm Kincaid

–
Jun 10, 2026

Denis Beau

−0.02
Jun 8, 2026

Burkhard Balz

−0.00
Jun 8, 2026

Mary-Elizabeth McMunn

+0.09
Jun 4, 2026

Marja Nykänen

−0.15
Jun 4, 2026

Yannis Stournaras

+0.08
Jun 3, 2026

Frank Elderson

−0.16
Jun 3, 2026

Piero Cipollone

+0.15
Jun 3, 2026

Olli Rehn

−0.04
Jun 2, 2026

Tuomas Välimäki

–
Jun 2, 2026

Olli Rehn

+0.19
Jun 2, 2026

Tuomas Välimäki

+0.28
Jun 2, 2026

Boris Vujčić

+0.03
Jun 1, 2026

Steven Maijoor

−0.00
Jun 1, 2026

Isabel Schnabel

−0.02
May 30, 2026

Yannis Stournaras

−0.00
May 29, 2026

Fabio Panetta

−0.01
May 28, 2026

Christine Lagarde

+0.09
May 28, 2026

Piero Cipollone

−0.04
May 27, 2026

Gabriel Makhlouf

−0.03
May 26, 2026

Vasileios Madouros

−0.10
May 26, 2026

Denis Beau

−0.01
May 25, 2026

François Villeroy de Galhau

+0.00
May 22, 2026

Colm Kincaid

+0.05
May 22, 2026

Philip R Lane

−0.02
May 22, 2026

Petar Chobanov

−0.01
May 21, 2026

François Villeroy de Galhau

−0.10
May 21, 2026

Steven Maijoor

–
May 19, 2026

Gabriel Makhlouf

+0.00
May 19, 2026

Claudia Buch

−0.22
May 18, 2026

Martin Kocher

+0.06
May 13, 2026

Burkhard Balz

−0.08
May 13, 2026

Christine Lagarde

−0.12
May 13, 2026

Philip R Lane

+0.15
May 12, 2026

Frank Elderson

−0.21
May 11, 2026

Christina Papaconstantinou

+0.10
May 9, 2026

Jose Luis Escrivá

−0.02
Next: Across all central banksHow tone lines up with rate moves at every bank tested, and whether it predicts them.